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The odds

Every box has six tiers. Each tier has a published chance and a value band set against the box price. Here is the lot, for every box.

Tier chance

Each open first lands in a tier. The six chances add up to 100%.

Value band

A tier is a band of card values, set as a multiple of the box price. Grail starts at 1.8 times the price.

Your card

Inside a tier, every card has its own chance. Open a box page to see all of them.

Side by side

Compare the boxes

What you get back on average, and how often an open pays back at least what the box cost.

Storm10,000
Average card value
88.0%
Average sell-back
79.2%
Card worth the price or more
39.5%
Sell-back pays the price or more
29.7%
Vortex25,000
Average card value
88.0%
Average sell-back
79.2%
Card worth the price or more
37.9%
Sell-back pays the price or more
35.0%
Obsidian50,000
Average card value
83.5%
Average sell-back
75.2%
Card worth the price or more
34.3%
Sell-back pays the price or more
28.7%
Reactor100,000
Average card value
94.0%
Average sell-back
84.6%
Card worth the price or more
50.0%
Sell-back pays the price or more
50.0%
Midas250,000
Average card value
89.7%
Average sell-back
80.7%
Card worth the price or more
50.0%
Sell-back pays the price or more
27.4%

Box	Price	Average card value	Average sell-back	Card worth the price or more	Sell-back pays the price or more
Storm	10,000	88.0% of price	79.2% of price	39.5%	29.7%
Vortex	25,000	88.0% of price	79.2% of price	37.9%	35.0%
Obsidian	50,000	83.5% of price	75.2% of price	34.3%	28.7%
Reactor	100,000	94.0% of price	84.6% of price	50.0%	50.0%
Midas	250,000	89.7% of price	80.7% of price	50.0%	27.4%

Average sell-back is the average card value times 90%. Card values marked Est. on box pages are estimates with a timestamp, so these figures move when prices do.

Storm

Live odds version #1, published 25 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC

10,000Cards worth 3,500 to 70,500

See every card

Tier	Chance	Value band	As a multiple of price	Cards
Grail	3.4%	17,500 and up1.75x and up	1.75x and up	41
Legendary	10.0%	14,500 to 17,4991.45x to 1.75x	1.45x to 1.75x	12
Epic	14.0%	12,000 to 14,4991.2x to 1.45x	1.2x to 1.45x	10
Rare	22.6%	9,500 to 11,9990.95x to 1.2x	0.95x to 1.2x	16
Uncommon	24.5%	5,500 to 9,4990.55x to 0.95x	0.55x to 0.95x	33
Common	25.5%	3,500 to 5,4990.35x to 0.55x	0.35x to 0.55x	40

Vortex

Live odds version #2, published 25 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC

25,000Cards worth 8,800 to 173,000

See every card

Tier	Chance	Value band	As a multiple of price	Cards
Grail	3.4%	43,750 and up1.75x and up	1.75x and up	20
Legendary	10.0%	36,250 to 43,7491.45x to 1.75x	1.45x to 1.75x	2
Epic	14.0%	30,000 to 36,2491.2x to 1.45x	1.2x to 1.45x	4
Rare	22.6%	23,750 to 29,9990.95x to 1.2x	0.95x to 1.2x	7
Uncommon	24.5%	13,751 to 23,7490.55x to 0.95x	0.55x to 0.95x	31
Common	25.5%	8,750 to 13,7500.35x to 0.55x	0.35x to 0.55x	30

Some odds checks need attention. Check the tier details above before opening.

Obsidian

Live odds version #3, published 25 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC

50,000Cards worth 17,750 to 366,000

See every card

Tier	Chance	Value band	As a multiple of price	Cards
Grail	3.4%	87,500 and up1.75x and up	1.75x and up	15
Legendary	10.0%	72,500 to 87,4991.45x to 1.75x	1.45x to 1.75x	0
Epic	14.0%	60,000 to 72,4991.2x to 1.45x	1.2x to 1.45x	4
Rare	22.6%	47,500 to 59,9990.95x to 1.2x	0.95x to 1.2x	4
Uncommon	24.5%	27,501 to 47,4990.55x to 0.95x	0.55x to 0.95x	13
Common	25.5%	17,500 to 27,5000.35x to 0.55x	0.35x to 0.55x	20

Some odds checks need attention. Check the tier details above before opening.

Reactor

Live odds version #4, published 25 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC

100,000Cards worth 36,500 to 676,000

See every card

Tier	Chance	Value band	As a multiple of price	Cards
Grail	3.4%	175,000 and up1.75x and up	1.75x and up	8
Legendary	10.0%	145,000 to 174,9991.45x to 1.75x	1.45x to 1.75x	3
Epic	14.0%	120,000 to 144,9991.2x to 1.45x	1.2x to 1.45x	4
Rare	22.6%	95,000 to 119,9990.95x to 1.2x	0.95x to 1.2x	1
Uncommon	24.5%	55,001 to 94,9990.55x to 0.95x	0.55x to 0.95x	7
Common	25.5%	35,000 to 55,0000.35x to 0.55x	0.35x to 0.55x	7

Some odds checks need attention. Check the tier details above before opening.

Midas

Live odds version #5, published 25 Oct 2026, 19:37 UTC

250,000Cards worth 89,000 to 676,000

See every card

Tier	Chance	Value band	As a multiple of price	Cards
Grail	3.4%	437,500 and up1.75x and up	1.75x and up	2
Legendary	10.0%	362,500 to 437,4991.45x to 1.75x	1.45x to 1.75x	1
Epic	14.0%	300,000 to 362,4991.2x to 1.45x	1.2x to 1.45x	1
Rare	22.6%	237,500 to 299,9990.95x to 1.2x	0.95x to 1.2x	2
Uncommon	24.5%	137,500 to 237,4990.55x to 0.95x	0.55x to 0.95x	8
Common	25.5%	87,500 to 137,4990.35x to 0.55x	0.35x to 0.55x	3

Some odds checks need attention. Check the tier details above before opening.

Odds are frozen into a box version when it is published, and every open records the version it used. You can check any open on the fairness page.